This publication list is organized into different sections: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; and Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

PUBLICATIONS IN THE LAST THREE YEARS

2022 Schwarz, L., McHuron, E., Mangel, M., Gailey, G., and O. Sychenko. Gray whale habitat use and reproductive success during seismic surveys near their feeding grounds: comparing state‐dependent life history models and field data. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment (2022) 194 (Suppl 1):733. doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-10024-9

2022 Mangel, M. and A. Brown. Population processes in cyber system variability. PLoS ONE 17(12): e0279100. doi 10.1371/journal/pone.0279100

2023 McHuron, E.A., Sterling, J.T., and M. Mangel. The influence of prey availability on behavioral decisions and reproductive success of a central-place forager during lactation. Journal of Theoretical Biology 560 (2023) 111392

2023 Mangel, M. COVID-19. PLos ONE 18(2) e0281710 doi 10.1371/journal/pone.0281710

2023 Mangel, M. Pest Science in Pasteurs Quadrant Journal of Pest Science https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-023-01633-5

2024 Venkateswaran, V., Gokhale, C. S., Mangel, M., and S. Eliassen. Effects of time spent in pregnancy or brooding on immunocompetence. Ecology and Evolution, 14, e10764. doi.org/10.1002/ ece3.10764

2024 Kindsvater, H.K., Juan-Jorda, M-J., Dulvy, N.K., Horswill, C., Matthiopoulos, J., and M. Mangel. Size-dependence of food intake and mortality interact with temperature and seasonality to drive diversity in fish life histories. Evolutionary Applications 17:e13646

2024 Budaev, S., Dumitru, M.L., Enberg, K., Handeland, S.O., Higgison, A.D., Kristiansen, T.S., Opdal, A.F., Railsback, S.F., Ronnestad, I., Vollset, K.W., Mangel, M., and J. Giske. Premises for a digital twin of the Atlantic salmon in its world: Agency, robustness, subjectivity and prediction. Aquaculture, Fish, and Fisheries, 4: e153. DOI: 10.1002/aff2.153. DOI: 10.1111/eva.13646

Go elsewhere: Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY (OTHER THAN INSECTS) AND EVOLUTIONARY ECOLOGY

1984 Clark, C.W. and M. Mangel. Foraging and flocking strategies: Information in an uncertain environment. American Naturalist 123:626-647.

1986 Mangel, M. Solution of functional difference equations from behavioral theory. Journal of Mathematical Biology 24:557-567

1986 Mangel, M. and C.W. Clark. Towards a unified foraging theory. Ecology 67:1127-1138.

1986 Clark, C.W. and M. Mangel. The evolutionary advantages of group foraging. Theoretical Population Biology 30:45-75

1986 Clark, C.W. and M. Mangel. Markovian foraging models. Springer Lecture Notes Biomathematics 71:

1986 Mangel, M. Solution of functional difference equations from behavioral theory. Journal of Mathematical Biology 24:557-567

1988 Houston, A., C.W. Clark, J.M. McNamara and M. Mangel. Dynamic models in behavioural and evolutionary ecology. Nature 332:29-34

1988 Mangel, M. Dynamic theories of behavior. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 11:139-14

1990 Mangel, M. Dynamic information in uncertain and changing worlds, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 146:317-332

1990 Mangel, M. A dynamic habitat selection game. Mathematical Biosciences 100:241-248

1990 Mangel, M. Resource divisibility, predation and group formation. Animal Behavior, 39:1163-1172

1990 Mangel, M. Evolutionary and neural network models of behavior.Journal of Mathematical Biology, 28:237-256

1991 Mangel, M. Adaptive walks on behavioral landscapes and the evolution of optimal behavior by natural selection, Evolutionary Ecology, 5:30-39

1991 Toft, C.A. and M. Mangel. From individuals to ecosystems; the papers of Skellam, Hutchinson and Lindeman, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 53:121-134

1992 Mangel, M. and D. Ludwig. Definition and evaluation of behavioral and developmental programs. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 23:507-536

1992 Mangel, M. Rate maximizing and state variable theories of diet selection. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 54:413-422

1994 Mangel, M. and F.R. Adler. 1994. Construction of multidimensional clustered patterns. Ecology 75:1289-1298

1995 Mangel, M. Social interaction, nonlinear dynamics, and task allocation in groups. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 10:347

1995 Bouskila, A., Blumstein, D.T. and M. Mangel. Prey under stochastic conditions should probably overestimate predation risk: a reply to Abrams. American Naturalist 145:1015-1019

1997 Gardner, S.N. and M. Mangel. When can a clonal organism escape senescence? American Naturalist 150:462-490

1998 Stamps J.A., Mangel, M. and J.A. Phillips. A new look at relationships between size at maturity and asymptotic size. American Naturalist 152:470-479

1998 Greene, C., Umbanhowar, J., Mangel, M. and T. Caro. Animal breeding systems,hunter selectivity, and consumptive use in wildlife conservation. pg 271-305 in Behavioral Ecology and Conservation Biology (T. Caro, editor). Oxford University Press, New York

11999 Partridge, L. and M. Mangel. Messages from mortality: the evolution of death rates in the old. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 14:438-442

1999 Ney-Nifle, M. and M. Mangel. Species-area curves based on geographic range and occupancy. Journal of Theoretical Biology 196: 327-342

1999 Cohen, D. and M. Mangel. 1999. Investing for survival of severe rare stresses in heterogeneous environments. Evolutionary Ecology Research 1:987-1002

1999 Rees, M., Sheppard, A., Briese, D. and M. Mangel. Evolution of size-dependent flowering in Onopordum illyricum: a quantitative assessment of the role of stochastic selection pressures. American Naturalist 154:628-651

1999 Gardner, S.N. and M. Mangel. Modeling investments in seeds, clonal offspring, and translocation in a clonal plant. Ecology 80:1202-1220

2001 Luttbeg, B., Towner, M.C., Wandesford-Smith, A., Mangel, M., and S. Foster. State-dependent mate-assessment and mate-selection behavior in threespine sticklebacks (Gasterosteus aculeatus, Gasterosteiformes: Gasterosteidae). Ethology 107:545-558

2001 M. Mangel and J. Stamps. Tradeoffs between growth and mortality and the maintenance of individual variation in growth. Evolutionary Ecology Research 3:583-593

2001 Switzer, P.V., Stamps, J.A. and M. Mangel. When should a territory resident attack? Animal Behaviour 62:749-759

2001. Mangel, M. Complex adaptive systems, aging and longevity. Journal of Theoretical Biology 213:559-571.

2002 Mangel, M. Environment and longevity: emergence without interaction, multiple steady states and stochastic clocks. Evolutionary Ecology Research 4:1065-1074.

2003 Mangel, M. Environment and longevity: The demography of the growth rate. Population and Development Review 29 (Supplement):57-70

2003 Aviv, A., Levy, D., and M. Mangel. Growth, telomere dynamics and successful and unsuccessful human aging. Mechanisms of Aging and Development 124:829-837

2003 Luttbeg, B., Rowe, L. and M. Mangel. Prey state and experimental design affect relative size of trait- and density-mediated indirect effects. Ecology 84:1140-1150

2003 Giske, J., Mangel, M., Jakobsen, P., Huse, G., Wilcox, C. and E. Strand. Explicit trade-off rules in proximate adaptive agents. Evolutionary Ecology Reseach 5:835-865.

2004 Mangel M. and M.B. Bonsall. The shape of things to come: using models with physiological structure to predict mortality trajectories. Theoretical Population Biology 65:353-359

2004 Bonsall, M.B. and M. Mangel. Life-history trade-offs and ecological dynamics in the evolution of longevity.Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 271:1143-1150

2005 Mangel, M. Invariant ratios vs. dimensional ratios. Science 310:1426-27

2005 Eitam, A., Blaustein, L. and M. Mangel. Density and intercohort effects on larval Salamandra salamandra in temporary pools. Oecologia 146:36-42

2005 Mangel, M. and S.B. Munch. A life-history perspective on short- and long-term consequences of compensatory growth. American Naturalist 166: E155-E176

2006 Johnson, L.R. and M. Mangel. Life histories and the evolution of aging in bacteria and other single-celled organisms. Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 127-786-793

2006 Munch, S.B. and M. Mangel. Evaluation of mortality trajectories in evolutionary biodemography. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103:16604-16607

2007 Eliassen, S., Jorgensen, C., Mangel, M. and J. Giske. Exploration or exploitation: life expectancy changes the value of learning in foraging strategies. Oikos 116:513-523

2007Abrahams, M.V., Mangel, M. and K. Edges. Predator-prey interactions and changing environments: who benefits? Philosophical Transcations of the Royal Society B 362:2095-2104

2007 Mangel, M., Kindsvater, H.K. and M.B. Bonsall. Evolutionary analysis of life span, competition, and adaptive radiation, motivated by the Pacific rockfishes (Sebastes). Evolution 61:1208-1224

2007 Mangel, M. and M.B. Bonsall. The evolutionary ecology of stem cells and their niches - the time is now. Oikos 116:1779-1781

2008 Mangel, M. and M.B. Bonsall. Phenotypic evolutionary models in stem cell biology: replacement, quiescence, and variability. PLoS ONE 3(2): e1591. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0001591

2008 Mangel, M. Environment, Damage and Senescence: modeling the life history consequences of variable stress and caloric intake. Functional Ecology 22:422-430

2009 Segev, O., Mangel, M., and L. Blaustein. Deleterious effects by mosquitofish (Gambusia affinis) on the endangered fire salamander (Salamandra infraimmaculata) Animal Conservation 12:29-37

2009 Bonsall, M.B. and M. Mangel. Density dependence, lifespan and the evolutionary dynamics of longevity. Theoretical Population Biology 75:46-55

2009 Tinker, M.T., Mangel, M., and J.A. Estes. Learning To Be Different: Acquired Skills, Social Learning, Frequency Dependence and Environmental Variation Can Cause Behaviorally-Mediated Foraging Specializations. Evolutionary Ecology Research 11:841-869

2009 Sadeh, A., Mangel, M. and L. Blaustein. Context-dependent reproductive habitat selection: the interactive roles of structural complexity and cannibalistic conspecifics. Ecology Letters 12:1158-1164

2009 Eliassen, S., Jorgensen, C., Mangel, M. and J. Giske. Quantifying the adaptive value of learning in foraging behavior. American Naturalist. doi:10.1086/605370

2010 Kindsvater, H.K.,Alonzo, S.H., Mangel, M., and M.B.Bonsall. Effects of age- and state-dependent allocation on offspring size and number. Evolutionary Ecology Research 12:327-346

2010 Satterthwaite, W.H., Kitaysky, A.S., Hatch,S.A., Piatt, J.F., and M. Mangel. Unifying quantitative life-history theory and field endocrinology to assess prudent parenthood in a long-lived seabird. Evolutionary Ecology Research 12:779-792

2011 Sadeh, A., Truskanov, N., Mangel, M. and L. Blaustein. Compensatory development and costs of plasticity: Larval responses to desiccated conspecifics. PLoS ONE 6:e15602

2011 Segev, O., Mangel, M., Wolf, N., Sadeh, A., Kershenbaum, A., and L. Blaustein. Spatiotemporal reproductive strategies in the fire salamander: a model and empirical test. Behavioral Ecology doi:10.1093/beheco/arr029

2011 Levi, T., Lu, F., Yu, D.W., and M. Mangel. The behaviour and diet breadth of central-place foragers: an application to human hunters and Neotropical game management. Evolutionary Ecology Research 13:171-185

2012 Satterthwaite, W.H., Kitaysky, A.S., and M. Mangel. Linking climate variability, productivity and stress to demography in a long-lived seabird. Marine Ecology Progress Series 454:221-235. Supplementary Material

2013 Vincenzi,S., Hatch, S., Mangel, M., and A. Kitaysky, Food availability affects onset of reproduction in a long-lived seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 280: http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.0554

2013 Vincenzi, and M. Mangel. Linking food availability, body growth and survival in the black-legged kittiwake Rissa tridactyla. Deep-Sea Research II http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.03.029i

2013 Shelton, A.O., Satterthwaite, W.H., Beakes, M.P., Munch, S.B., Sogard, S.M., and M. Mangel. Separating intrinsic and environmental contributions to growth and their population consequences. The American Naturalist 181: 0003-0147/2013/18106-53990

2013 Yeakel, J.D., Dominy, N.J., Koch, P.L., and M. Mangel. Functional morphology, stable isotopes, and human evolution: A model of consilience. Evolution doi:10.1111/evo.12240

2013 Mangel, M., Satterthwaite, W.H., Pirolli, P., Suh, B. and Y. Zhang. Invasion biology and the success of social collaboration networks, with application to Wikipedia. Israel Journal of Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.1080/15659801.2013.815435. Version with supplementary material

2013 Giske, J., Eliassen, S., Fiksen, O., Jakobsen, P.J., Aksnes, D.L., Jorgensen, C., and M. Mangel. Effects of the emotion system on adaptive behavior. The American Naturalist 182:689-703

2013 Salinas, S., Brown, S.C., Mangel, M., and S.B. Munch. Non-genetic inheritance and changing environments. Non-Genetic Inheritance 2012:38-50 DOI: 10.2478/ngi-2013-0005

2013 Mangel, M. and M.B. Bonsall. Stem cell biology is population biology: differentiation of hematopoietic multipotent progenitors to common lymphoid and myeloid progenitors. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 10(5). doi:10.1186/1742-4682-10-5

2014 Giske,J., Eliassen, S., Fiksen,O., Jakobsen, P.J., Aksnes,D.L., Mangel, M. and C. Jorgensen The emotion system promotes diversity and evolvability. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 281 20141096

2014 Szekely T. Jr, Burrage K., Mangel M., and M.B. Bonsall M.B. Stochastic Dynamics of Interacting Haematopoietic Stem Cell Niche Lineages. PLoS Computational Biology 10(9): e1003794. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003794

2014 Vincenzi, S. and M. Mangel. Food abundance, kittiwake life histories, and colony dynamics in the Northeastern Pacific: implications of climate change and regime shifts. Marine Ecology Progress Series 515:251-263

2015 Mangel, M. Stochastic Dynamic Programming illuminates the link between environment, physiology, and evolution. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 77:857-877

2015 Levi, T., Kilpatrick, A.M., Barfield, M., Holt, R.D., Mangel, M., and C.C. Wilmers. Threshold levels of generalist predation determine consumer response to resource pulses. Oikos doi: 10.1111/oik.01487

2015 Mangel, M. Stochastic Dynamic Programming illuminates the link between environment, physiology, and evolution. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 77:857-877

2015 Levi, T., Kilpatrick, A.M., Barfield, M., Holt, R.D., Mangel, M., and C.C. Wilmers. Threshold levels of generalist predation determine consumer response to resource pulses. Oikos doi: 10.1111/oik.01487

2015 Sadeh, A., Polevikov, A., Mangel, M., and L. Blaustein. Intercohort size structure dynamics of fire salamander larvae in ephemeral habitats: a mesocosm experiment. Oecologia DOI 10.1007/s00442-015-3366-7

2015 Grunloh, N. and M. Mangel. State-dependent behavioral theory and the evolution of play. Adaptive Behavior DOI: 10.1177/1059712315588613

2015 Pellis, S.M., Burghardt, G.M., Palagi, E. and M. Mangel. Modeling play: distinguishing between origins and current functions. Adaptive Behavior DOI: 10.1177/1059712315596053

2016 Mangel, M., Bonsall, M.B., and A. Aboobaker. Feedback control in planarian stem cell systems. BMC Systems Biology DOI 10.1186/s12918-016-0261-8

2016 Lee, W-S., Mangel, M. and P. Peres-Neto. Environmental integration: Patterns of correlation between environmental factors, early life decisions, and their long-term consequences. Evolutionary Ecology Research 17:1-19

2019 Budaev, S., Jorgensen, C., Mangel, M., Eliassen, S., and J. Giske. Decision-making from the animal perspective: Bridging ecology and subjective cognition. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. May 2019, Volume 7, Article 164

2019 Reimer, J.R., Mangel, M., Derocher, A.E., and M. A. Lewis. Matrix methods for stochastic dynamic programming in ecology and evolutionary biology. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13291

2020 Mangel, M. Iwasa et al. (1984): On the cusp of a revolution in foraging theory. Theoretical Population Biology 133:25-26 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2019.07.004.

2020 Lee, W-S., Salinas, S., Lee, Y-R., Siskidis, J.A., Mangel, M. and S.B. Munch. Thermal transgenerational effects remain after two generations. Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1002/ece3.6767

2021 Munch, S.B., Lee, W.S., Walsh, M., Hurst, T., Wasserman, B.A., Mangel, M. and S. Salinas. A latitudinal gradient in thermal transgenerational plasticity and a test of theory. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 288: 20210797

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

ESSAYS, BOOK REVIEWS, AND EDITORIALS

1982 Mangel, M. Finding the solution isn't the problem, finding the problem is the problem, Teaching Resources Newsletter 7:2, Winter, 1982; re-printed in Canadian Applied Mathematics Society Newsletter , 1982

1985 Mangel, M. review of Nonlinear Phenomena in Physics and Biology (R.H. Enns et. al, editors), and Nonlinear Stochastic Problems (R.S. Bucy and J.M.F. Moura, editors). Mathematical Biosciences 73:153-158

1986 Mangel, M. review of Stochastic Analysis and Applications (M. Pinsky, ed) Mathematical Biosciences 74:

1986 Mangel, M. review of Mathematical Foundations of Population Dynamics (G.L Curry and R.M. Feldman), Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 49:638-641

1986 Mangel, M. review of Bioeconomic Modelling and Fisheries Management (C.W. Clark) , Mathematical Biosciences 74:

1988 Mangel, M. review of Singular Perturbation Methods in Control, Analysis and Design (P. Kokotovic et. al.), SIAM Review 30:674-675

1989 Mangel, M. review of Viable Populations for Conservation (M. Soule, ed.) Natural Resource Modeling, 4:255-271

1990 Mangel, M. review of An Introduction to Mathematical Physiology and Biology (J. Mazumdar), SIAM Review 32:513-514

1990 Mangel, M. review of Dynamics of Forest Insect Populations: Patterns,
Causes, Implications (A. Berryman, ed.), Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 52:331

1990 Mangel, M. review of Mathematical Evolutionary Theory (M. Feldman, ed.), Trends in Ecology and Evolution 5:64

1991 Mangel, M. review of A Functional Biology of Clonal Animals (R. Hughes), Quarterly Review of Biology 66:88

1991 Mangel, M. review of From Animals to Animats (J-A Meyer and S.W. Wilson, editors). Animal Behavior

1991 Mangel, M. review of Fruit Flies. Their Biology, Natural Enemies and Control (A.S. Robinson and G. Hooper, editors), Natural Resource Modeling 5:269-271

1992Mangel, M. The rise of professionals, decline of the university, The Davis Enterprise, Sunday June 14, 1992, page A-7

1992 Parichy, D.M., H.B. Shaffer, and M. Mangel review of Heterochrony: The Evolution of Ontogeny, Evolution 46:1252-1254

1992 Mangel, M. review of Continuous-Time Markov Chains. An Applications-Oriented Approach. (W. Anderson). Quarterly Review of Biology, 67:419

1993 Mangel, M. review of Modelling Biological Populations in Space and Time (E. Renshaw) and An Introduction to Game Theoretic Modelling (M. Mesterton- Gibbons), Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 55:681-683

1993 Mangel, M. review of Nonlinear Systems. (P. Drazin). Mathematical Biosciences 115:119-121

1993 Mangel, M., Hofman, R.J., Norse, E.A. and Twiss, J.R., Jr. Sustainability and ecological research. Ecological Applications 3:573-575

1993 Mangel, M. Director's Message. Center for Population Biology 1989-1992 Report. Center for Population Biology, University of California Davis

1993 Mangel, M. Models, physics and predictive biological oceanography: KNOW your organism. U.S. GLOBEC NEWS 4 (August 1993):1-2

1994. Barry, S.J. and Mangel, M. review of Kinetic Theory of Living Pattern (L. Harrison), Mathematical Biosciences 124:237-241

1995 Mangel, M. Is 'sustainable growth' possible? Davis Enterprise (12 February 1995): A7

1996 Castleberry, D.T., Cech, J.J., Erman, D.C., Hankin, D., Healey, M,
Kondolf, G. M., Mangel, M., Mohr, M., Moyle, P.B., Nielsen, J., Speed, T.P. and J.G. Williams. Uncertainty and instream flow standards. Fisheries 21:20-21

1997 Kelman, E., Rapoport, M., Segal, J., and M. Mangel. Is there a moral case againstenvironmentalism? Leviathan (Spring 1997): 9, 27

1997 Mangel, M. Behavioural ecology at thirty-something. Review of J.R. Krebs and N.B. Davies. Behavioural Ecology: An Evolutionary Approach (4th edition). Trends in Ecology and Evolution 12:454-455

1998 Mangel, M. Animal analysts who know their plays. (Reviews of Game Theory and Animal Behaviour edited by L.A. Dugatkin and H.K. Reeve and Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics by J. Hofbauer and K. Sigmund). Nature 395: 32

1998 G. Hershatter, M. Mangel, et al. UCSC At a Crossroads: Advisory Report of the Millennium Committee

1999 Benjamin, T. and M. Mangel. The ten plagues and statistical science as a way of knowing. Judaism 48:17-34

1999 Mangel, M. Decision-making for our ecological future (Review of
E.J. Milner-Gulland and R. Mace Conservation of Biological Resources) Nature 398:37

1999 Mangel, M. Review of T.A. Mousseau and C.W. Fox Maternal Effects as Adaptations. Animal Behaviour 58:454

2000 Mangel, M. Fish population dynamics and ecological theory. (Review of T.J.H. Quinn and R.B. Deriso. Quantitative Fish Dynamics). Ecology 81:288 289

2001 Mangel, M. Required reading for (ecological) battles. (Review of N Eldredge. The Triumph of Evolution....and the Failure of Creationism). Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16:110

2001 Mangel, M. The important role of theory in conservation biology. Review of The Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography by S.B. Hubbell. Conservation Biology 16:843-844

2002 Review of Model Systems in Behavioral Ecology. Integrating conceptual, theoretical, and empirical approaches, L.A. Dugatkin (editor). Ecosience 9:414-415

2002 Shelton, A. and M. Mangel. Review of Life History Evolution, D.A. Roff. Ecology 83:2947-2948

2004 Mangel, M. Weighing the  evidence.  Review of M. Taper and S. Lele (editors).The Nature of Scientific Evidence.  Statistical, philosophical, and empirical considerations. Science 306:1478

2005 Mangel, M. A failure to communicate. Review of R. Crawford Is God a Scientist? A Dialogue between Science and Religion. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 20:161

2007 Bunnefeld, N., Borger, L, Nilsen, E.B., Basille, M., Hall, R., Ezard, T.H.G., Trierweiler, C., Minderman, J., Mangel,M., Gaillard, J-M., Milner-Gulland, E.J. Coming out of the ivory tower: how to ensure that ecological modelling research remains practical and applied. Bulletin of the British Ecological Society 38:64-66

2007 Mangel, M. A review of S.P. Ellner and J. Guckenheimer Dynamic Models in Biology. SIAM Review 49:144-146

2007 Mangel, M. New views on religion and science. Reviews of E.O. Wilson The Creation, F.S. Collins The Language of God and J. Roughgarden Evolution and Christian Faith. BioScience 57:273-277

2008 Mangel, M. Uncertainty in ecology: A retrospective and prospective. Bulletin of the British Ecological Society 39(1):25-28

2009 Carpenter, S.R., Armbrust, V., Arzberger, P., Chapin, T., Elser, J., Hackett, E., Ives, T., Kareiva, P., Leibold, M., Lundberg, P., Mangel, M., Merchant, N., Murdoch, W., Palmer, M., Peters, D., Pickett, S., Smith, K., Wall, D., and A. Zimmerman. Accelerate Synthesis in Ecology and Environmental Sciences. BioScience 59:699-701

2009 Mangel, M. Big Ideas in Science. Review of T.N. Sherrat and D.M. Wilkinson Big Questions in Ecology and Evolution Trends in Ecology and Evolution 24:185-186

2009 Mangel, M. Desert Myth-Busters. Review of D. Ward The Biology of Deserts Israel Journal of Ecology & Evolution 55:153-156

2010 Mangel, M. Review of J.D. Logan and W.R. Wolensky. Mathematical Methods in Biology Quarterly Review of Biology 85:213-214

2010 Mangel, M. Review of C.W. Fowler Systemic Management: Sustainable Human Interactions with Ecosystems and the Biosphere Marine Mammal Science 26:757-760

2010 Brown, V., Gutknect, J., Harden, L., Harrison, C., Hively, D., Jorensen, C., Levi, T., Pflugeisen, B., Rovengo, P., Want, Y., Wiedenmann, J., and M. Mangel. Understanding and engaging values in policy relevant science. Bulletin of the British Ecological Society 41:48-56

2011 Mangel, M. Review of K.B. Gido and D.A. Jackson (editors) Community ecology of stream fishes: concepts, approaches, and techniques. Ecology 92: 1705

2011 Mangel, M. Phenomenological Models in the Age of Systems Biology. Review of L. G. Harrison The Shaping of Life: The Generation of Biological Pattern BioScience 62:203-204

2012 Mangel, M. Review of A.K. Sethi, T.J. Prescott, and J.J. Bryson (editors) Modelling Natural Action Selection Quarterly Review of Biology 87:372-373

2014 Sheldon, B.C. and M. Mangel. Love Thy Neighbour. Nature 512:381-382

2015 Mangel, M. Sensible thinking about science and religion. Review of K. Thomson Private Doubt, Public Dilemma BioScience. doi:10.1093/biosci/biv098

2016 Mangel, M. Review of P. Sands East West Street

2017 Mangel, M. Know your organism, Know your data. ICES Journal of Marine Science doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsw228

2017 Mangel, M. A Unified View of Development: Making Evo-Devo Operational. Review of S. Sultan Organism and Environment: Ecological Development, Niche Construction, and Adaptation BioScience doi:10.1093/biosci/bix008

2018 Mangel, M. A Forward in S. Nicol The Curious Life of Krill Island Press

2021 Mangel, M. Review of J.M. McNamara and O. Leimar. Game Theory in Biology Quarterly Review of Biology 96:145-146

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; and Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

FISH (ESPECIALLY SALMONIDS AND KRILL), FISHERIES, AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT AND CONSERVATION

1979 Clark, C.W. and M. Mangel. Aggregation and fishery dynamics: A theoretical study of schooling and the purse seine tuna fisheries. Fishery Bulletin 77:317-337

1982 Mangel, M. Aggregation and fishery dynamics: Multiple time scales,
times to extinction, and random environments. Ecological Modelling 15:191-209

1982 Mangel, M. Search effort and catch rates in fisheries. European Journal of Operational Research 11:361-366

1983 Mangel, M. and C.W. Clark. Uncertainty, search, and information in fisheries. Journal of the International Council for the Exploration of the Seas 43:93-103

1983 Clark, C.W. and M. Mangel. Search theory in ecology and resource management. Springer Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 52:380-388

1985 Mangel, M. and J.H. Beder. Search and stock depletion: theory and applications. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 42:150-163

1985 Mangel, M. and R.E. Plant. Regulatory mechanisms and information processing in uncertain fisheries. Marine Resource Economics 1:389-418

1985 Clark, C.W., A. Charles, J.R. Beddington and M. Mangel. Optimal capacity decisions in a developing fishery. Marine Resources Economics 2:25-53

1987 Mangel, M. Sampling highly aggregated populations with application to California sardine management. Springer Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 72:247-263

1988 Mangel, M. From egg surveys to ecosystem models: Biological assumptions in fisheries management. Springer Lecture Notes on Coastal and Estuarine Studies 28:75-102

1989 Mangel, M. Analysis and modelling of the Soviet southern ocean krill fleet, Selected Scientific Papers (1988), Scientific Committee for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources, 25 Old Wharf, Hobart, TAS, Australia 7000, SC-CAMLR-SSP/5:127-236

1990 R.S. Gomulkiewicz, Brodziak, J.K.T. and M. Mangel. Ranking loci for genetic stock identification by curvature methods, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 47:611-619

1990 Mangel, M. Analysis and modeling of the Soviet southern ocean krill fleet, II: Estimating the number of concentrations. Selected Scientific Papers (1989), Scientific Committee for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (25 Old Wharf, Hobart, TAS, Australia 7000), SC-CAMLR-SSP/6 283-322

1990 Mangel, M. and Smith, P.E. Presence-absence sampling for fisheries management Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 47:1875-1887

1992 Mangel, M. Empirical and theoretical aspects of fisheries yield models for Large Marine Ecosystems, pg 243-262 in Yield Models for Large Westview Press

1992 Bartley, D, Gall, G.A.E.,., Bentley, B., Brodziak, J.K.T,. Gomulkiewicz, R., and M. Mangel. Geographical variation in the population genetic structure of Chinook salmon from California and Oregon Fishery Bulletin (US), 90:77-100

1992 Brodziak, J.K.T, Bartley, D., Bentley, B., Gall, G.A.E., Gomulkiewicz, R. and M. Mangel. Tests of genetic stock identification using Coded-Wire Tagged fish. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 49:1507-1517

1993 Mangel, M. and C. Tier. A simple direct method for finding persistence times of populations and application to conservation problems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 90:1083-1086

1993 Mangel, M. and C. Tier. Dynamics of metapopulations with demographic stochasticity and environmental catastrophes. Theoretical Population Biology 44:1-31

1994. Mangel, M. and C. Tier. Four facts every conservation biologist should know about persistence. Ecology 75:607-614

1994 Mangel, M. Life history variation and salmonid conservation. Conservation Biology 8:879-880

1994 Mangel, M. Spatial patterning in resource exploitation and conservation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 343:93-98

1994 Mangel, M. Climate change and salmonid life history variation. Deep Sea Research, II (Topical Studies in Oceanography) 41:75-106

1996 Bull, C.D., Metcalfe, N.B. and M. Mangel. Seasonal matching of foraging to anticipated energy requirements in anorexic juvenile salmon. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 263:13-18

1996 Mangel, M. Computing expected reproductive success of female Atlantic salmon as a function of smolt size. Journal of Fish Biology 49:877-882

1996 Mangel, M. Life history invariants, age at maturity and the ferox trout. Evolutionary Ecology 10:249-263

1996 Mangel, M. and 42 co-authors. Principles for the conservation of wild living resources. Ecological Applications 6:338-362. Republished with commentary in Environment Development Economics 2(1):40-110 (1997)

1998 Nonacs, P., Smith, P.E. and M. Mangel. Modeling foraging in the northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax): individual behavior can predict school dynamics and population biology. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55:1179-1188

1998. Thorpe, J.E., Mangel, M., Metcalfe, N.B., and F.A. Huntingford. Modelling the proximate basis of life history variation, with application to Atlantic salmon, Salmo salar L. Evolutionary Ecology 121:581-600

1998. Mangel, M. and P.V. Switzer. A model at the level of the foraging trip for the indirect effects of krill (Euphausia superba) fisheries on krill predators. Ecological Modelling 105:235-256

1998 Lauck, T., Clark, C.W., Mangel, M. and G.R. Munro. Implementing the precautionary principle in fisheries management through marine reserves. Ecological Applications 8(1) Supplement: S72-78

1998 Mangel, M. No-take areas for sustainability of harvested species and a conservation invariant for marine reserves. Ecology Letters 1:87-90

1998 Shea, K., Amarasekare, P., Mangel, M., Moore, J., Murdoch, W.W., Noonburg, E., Parma, A., Pascual, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Wilcox, C. and D. Yu. Management of populations in conservation, harvesting and control. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 13:371-375

1998 Mangel, M., Mullan, A., Mulch, A. , Staub, S. and E. Yasukochi. A generally accessible derivation of the golden rule of bioeconomics. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 79:145-148

1998 Parma, A., Amarasekare, P., Mangel, M., Moore, J., Murdoch, W.W., Noonburg, E., Pascual, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Shea, K., Wilcox, C. and D. Yu.What can adaptive management do for our fish, forests, food and biodiversity? Integrative Biology 1:16-26

1999 Cooper, A.B. and M. Mangel. The dangers of ignoring metapopulation structure for the conservation of salmonids. Fishery Bulletin US 97:213226

1999 Murray, S.N., Ambrose, R.F., Bohnsack, J.A., Botsford, L.W., Carr, M.H., Davis, G.E., Dayton, P.K., Gotshall, D., Gunderson, D.R., Hixon, M.A., Lubchenco, J., Mangel, M., MacCall, A., McArdle, D., Ogden, J.C., Roughgarden, J., Starr, R.M., Tegner, M.J. and M.M. Yoklavich. No-take reserve networks: sustaining fishery populations and marine ecosystems. Fisheries 24(11):11-25.

1999 Fluharty, D., Aparicio, P., Blackburn, C., Boehlert, G., Coleman, F., Conkling, P., Costanza, R., Dayton, P., Francis, R., Hanan, D., Hinman, K., Houde, E., Kitchell, J., Langton, R., Lubchenco, J., Mangel, M., Nelson, R., O'Connell, V., Orbach, M., and M. Sissenwsine. Ecosystem-based Fishery Management. A Report to Congress by the Ecosystem Advisory Panel. US Department of Commerce, National Marine Fisheries Service.

1999 Marinovic, B. And M. Mangel. 1999. Krill can shrink as an ecological adaptation to temporarily unfavorable environments. Ecology Letters 2:338-343

2000 Mangel, M. and S. Nicol. Krill and the unity of biology. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 57 (Supplement 3):1-5

2000 Ney-Nifle, M. and Mangel, M. Habitat loss and changes in the species-area relationship. Conservation Biology 14:893-898

2000 Rees, M., Mangel, M., Turnbull, L., Sheppard, A., and D. Briese. The effects of heterogeneity on dispersal and colonization in plants. Pg 237-265 in The Ecological Consequences of Environmental Heterogeneity (MJ Hutchings, EA John and AJA Stewart, editors), Blackwell Science, Oxford UK

2000 Luttbeg, B., Borgerhoff Mulder, M., and M.Mangel. To marry again or not. A dynamic model for demographic transition. Pg 345-368 in Adaptation and Human Behavior. An athropological perspective (L. Cronk, N. Chagnon, and W. Irons, editors) Aldine De Gruyter, Hawthorne, NY

2000 Mangel, M. On the fraction of habitat allocated to marine reserves. Ecology Letters 3:15-22

2000 Mangel, M. Irreducible uncertainties, sustainable fisheries and marine reserves. Evolutionary Ecology Research 2:547-557

2000 Mangel, M., Constable, A. and G. Parkes. A review of approaches to fisheries management, based on ecosystem considerations, with particular emphasis on spcies interactions. Marine Resource Assessment Group (MRAG) Americas Report.

2000 Mangel, M., Constable, A. and G. Parkes. 2000. Approaches to the evaluation of fisheries impacts under the ESA. Marine Resource Assessment Group (MRAG) Americas Report

2000 Mangel, M. Trade-offs between fish habitat and fishing mortality and the role of reserves. Bulletin of Marine Science 66:663-674

2001 Shea, K. and M. Mangel. Detection of population trends in threatened coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58:375-385

2001 Mangel, M., Fiksen, Ø. and J. Giske. Theoretical and statistical models in natural resource management and research. Pg 57-71 in Modeling in Natural Resource Management. Development, interpretation and application. T.M. Shenk and A.B. Franklin, editors.Island Press, Washington, DC

2001 Ludwig, D., Mangel, M., and B. Haddad. Ecology, conservation and public policy. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics. 32:481-517

2001 Alonzo, S.H. and M. Mangel. Survival strategies and growth of krill: avoiding predators in space and time. Marine Ecology Progress Series 209:203-217

2001Mangel, M. and M.V. Abrahams. Age and longevity in fish, with consideration of the ferox trout. Experimental Gerontology 36:765-790

2002 Metcalfe, N.B., Bull, Colin D., and M.Mangel. Seasonal variation in catch-up growth reveals state-dependent somatic allocations in salmon. Evolutionary Ecology Research 4:1-1

2002 Alonzo, S.H. and M. Mangel. Effects of social behaviour on survival and growth of krill: important, but how relevant? Marine Ecology Progress Series 244:309-310

2002 Mangel, M., Marinovic, B., Pomeroy, C., and D. Croll. Requiem for Ricker: Unpacking MSY. Bulletin of Marine Science 70: 763-781

2002 Rosenberg, A., Kirkwood, G., Mangel, M., Hill, S. and G. Parkes. Investigating the Accuracy and Robustness of the Icelandic Cod Assessment and Catch Control Rule. MRAG Americas, Tampa, FL

2002 Goodman, D., Mangel, M., Parkes, G., Quinn, T., Restrepo, V., Smith, T., and K. Stokes. Scientific Review of the Harvest Strategy Currently Used in the BSAI and GOA Groundfish Fishery Management Plans. Report to the North Pacific Fishery Management Council

2003 Mangel, M. Metapopulation ecology and the extinction risk of West Coast salmon populations. Pg 79-106 in MacCall, A.D. and T.C. Wainwright (editors). Assessing extinction risk for West Coast salmon. U.S. Dept. Commer. NOAA Tech Memo. NMFS NWFSC-56, 198p. (The link is to the entire report).

2003 Alonzo, S.H., Switzer, P.V., and M. Mangel. An ecosystem-based approach to management: using individual behaviour to predict indirect effects of Antarctic krill fisheries on penguin foraging. Journal of Applied Ecology 40:692-7

2003 Alonzo, S.H., Switzer, P.V., and M. Mangel. Ecological games in space and time: The distribution and abundance of Antarctic krill and penguins. Ecology 84:1598-1607

2003 Mangel, M. and S.B. Munch. Opportunities for Bayesian Analysis in the Search for Sustainable Fisheries. The ISBA Bulleting 10(2):3-5 (Note -- for simplicity, I have posted the entire issue of the ISBA)

2003 Munch, S.B., Mangel, M. and D.O. Conover. Quantifying natural selection on body size from field data: Winter mortality in Menidia menidia. Ecology 84:2169 2177

2004 Alonzo, S.H. and M. Mangel. The effects of size-selective fisheries on the stock dynamics of and sperm limitation in sex-changing fish. Fishery Bulletin 102:1-23

 2004 Pikitch, E.K., Santora, C., Babcock, E.A., Bakun, A., Bonfil, R., Conover, D.O., Dayton, P., Doukakis, P., Fluharty, D. Heneman, B., Houde, E.D., Link, J., Livingston, P.A., Mangel, M., McAllister, M.K., Pope, J. and K.J. Sainsbury. Ecosystem-based fishery management. Science 305:346-347

2004 Hilborn, R., Stokes, K., Maquire, J-J., Smith, T., Botsford, L.W., Mangel, M., Orensanz, J., Parma, A., Rice, J., Bell, J., Cochrane, K.L., Garcia, S., Hall, S.J., Kirkwood, G.P., Sainsbury, K., Stefansson, G., and C. Walters.When can marine reserves improve fisheries management? Ocean & Coastal Management 47: 197-205

2004 Ish, T., Dick, E.J., Switzer, P.V. and M. Mangel. Environment, krill and squid in Monterey Bay: from fisheries to life histories and back again. Deep-Sea Research II 51:849-862

2004 Cooper, A.B., Rosenberg, A.A., Stefansson, G. and M. Mangel. Examing the importance of consistency in multi-vessel trawl survey design based on the U.S. west coast groundfish bottom trawl survey. Fisheries Research 70:239-250

2005 Mangel, M. and P.S. Levin. Regime, phase and paradigm shifts: making community ecology the basic science for fisheries. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B. 360:95-105

2005 Alonzo, S.H. and M. Mangel.Sex-change rules, stock dynamics, and the performance of spawning-per-recruit measures in protogynous stocks.  Fishery Bulletin103:229-245

2005 Naylor, R., Hindar, K., Fleming, I.A., Goldburg, R., Willims, S., Volpe, J., Whoriskey, F., Eagle, J., Kelso, D. and M. Mangel.Fugitive salmon: Assessing the risks of escaped fish from net-pen aquaculture.  BioScience 55:427-437

2005 Munch, S.B., Snover, M.L., Watters, G.M. and M. Mangel. A unified treatment of top-down and bottom-up control of reproduction in populations. Ecology Letters 8:691-695

2005 Snover, M.L., Watters, G.M. and M. Mangel. Interacting effects of behavior and oceanography on growth in salmonids with examples for coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62:1219-1230

2005 Munch, S.B., Kottas, A. and M. Mangel. Bayesian nonparametric analysis of stock-recruitment relationships. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62:1808-1821

2006 Mangel, M. Commentary: Accounting for uncertainty in marine reserve design. Ecology Letters 9:11-12

2006 Gardmark, A., Jonzen, N. and M. Mangel. Density-dependent body growth reduces the potential of marine reserves toi enhance yields. Journal of Applied Ecology 43:61-69

2006 Mangel, M., Levin, P. and A. Patil. Using life history and persistence criteria to prioritize habitats for management and conservartion. Ecological Applications 16:797-806

2006 He,X., Mangel, M. and A. MacCall. A prior for steepness in stock-recruitment relationships, based on an evolutionary persistence principle. Fishery Bulletin 104: 428-433

 2006 Wiedenmann, J and Mangel, M. A Review of Rebuilding Plans for Overfished Stocks in the United States: Identifying Situations of Special Concern. Report to the Lenfest Ocean Program

 2006 Snover, M.L., Watters, G.M. and M. Mangel. Top-down and bottom-up control of life history stategies in coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch). American Naturalist 167:E140-E157

2006 Shea, K., N. Wolf, and M. Mangel. Influence of density dependence on the detection of trends in unobserved life-history stages. Journal of Zoology 269:442-450

2008 Cresswell, K.A., Wiedenmann, J. and M. Mangel. Can macaroni penguins keep up with climate- and fishing-induced changes in krill? Polar Biology 31:641-649

2008 Wiedenmann, J., Creswell, K., and M. Mangel. Temperature-dependent growth of Antarctic krill: predictions for a changing climate from a cohort model. Marine Ecology Progress Series. 358:191-202

2008 Alonzo, S.H., Ish, T., Key, M., MacCall, A.D. and M. Mangel. The importance of incorporating protogynous sex change into stock assessments. Bulletin of Marine Science 83:163-179

2008 Mangel, M. and W.H.Satterthwaite. Combining proximate and ultimate approaches to understand life history variation in salmonids with application to fisheries, conservation, and aquaculture. Bulletin of Marine Science 83:107-130

2009 Satterthwaite, W.H., Beakes, M.P., Collins, E., Swank, D.R., Merz, J.E., Titus, R.G., Sogard, S.M., and M. Mangel. Steelhead life history on California's Central Coast: Insights from a State-Dependent Model. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 132:532-548. The model in R Note: This paper was selected as best publication for 2009 in The Transactions of the American Fisheries Society

2009 Wiedenmann, J., Creswell, K.A., and M. Mangel. Connecting recruitment of Antarctic krill and sea ice. Limnology and Oceanography 54:799-811

2009 Levin, P.S., Kaplan, I., Grober-Dunsmore, R., Chittaro, P.M., Oyamada, S., Andrews, K. and M. Mangel. A framework for assessing the biodiversity and fishery aspects of marine reserves. Journal of Applied Ecology 46:735-742

2009 Cresswell, K.A., Tarling, G.A., Thorpe, S.E., Burrows,M.T., Wiedenmann, J.R. and M. Mangel. Diel vertifical migration of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) is flexible during advection across the Scotia Sea. Journal of Plankton Research (electronic version )

2009 Wiedenmann, J., Fujiwara, M., and M. Mangel. Transient population dynamics and viable stage or age distributions for effective conservation and recovery. Biological Conservation 142:2990-2996

2010 Satterthwaite, W.H., Beakes, M.P., Collins, E., Sawnk, D.R., Merz, J.E., Titus, R.G., Sogard, S.M., and M. Mangel. State-dependent life history models in a changing (and regulated) environment: steelhead in the California Central Valley. Evolutionary Applications 3:221-243 The model in R

2010 Richerson, K., Levin, P.S., and M. Mangel. Accounting for indirect effects and non-commensurate values in ecosystem based fishery management. Marine Policy 34:114-119

2010 Mangel, M., Brodziak, J.K.T., and G. DiNardo. Reproductive ecology and scientific inference of steepness: a fundamental metric of population dynamics and strategic fisheries management. Fish and Fisheries 11:89-104. Erratum

2010 Carlson, S., Kottas, A., and M. Mangel. Bayesian analysis of size-dependent over-winter mortality from size-frequency distributions. Ecology 91:1016-1024

2010 Mangel, M., Richerson, K., Cresswell, K.A., and J.R. Wiedenmann. Modelling the effects of UV radiation on the survival of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba Dana) in the face of limited data. Ecological Modeling 221:2095-2101

2010 Mangel, M. Scientific inference and experiment in Ecosystem Based Fishery Management, with application to Steller sea lions in the Bering Sea and Western Gulf of Alaska. Marine Policy 34:836-843

2010 Beakes, M.P.,Satterthwaite, W.H., Collins, E., Swank, D.R., Merz, J.E., Titus, R.G., Sogard, S.M., and M. Mangel. Smolt transformation in two California steelhead populations: Effects of temporal variability in growth. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 139:1263-1275

2010 Enberg, K., Jorgensen, C. , and M. Mangel. Fishing-induced evolution and changing reproductive ecology of fish: the evolution of steepness. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 67:1708-1719.

2010 Ainsworth, C.H., Kaplan, I.C., Levin, P.S., and M. Mangel. A statistical approach for estimating fish diet compositions from multiple data sources: Gulf of California case study. Ecological Applications 20:2188-2202

2011 Shelton, A.O. and M.Mangel. Fluctuations of fish populations and the magnifying effects of fishing. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1100334108. Also see 2011 Sugihara et al for a comment on our paper and 2011 Shelton and Mangel for our response.

2011 Bednarek, A.T., Cooper, A.B., Cresswell, K.A., Mangel M., Sattherthwaite, W.H., Simpfendofer, C.A., and J.R. Wiedenmann. The certainty of uncertainty in marine conservation and what to do about it. Bulletin of Marine Science 87:177-195

2011 Vincenzi, S., Crivelli, A.J., Giske, J., Satherthwaite, W.H., and M. Mangel. Selective consequences of catastrophes for growth rates in a stream-dwelling. Oecologia DOI 10.1007/s00442-011-2096-8

2011 Wiedenmann, J., Cresswell, K.A., Goldbogen, J., Potvin, J., and M. Mangel. Exploring the effects of reductions in krill biomass in the Southern Ocean on blue whales using a state-dependent foraging model. Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 3366– 3379

2011 Lee,W-S., Metcalfe, N.B., Monaghan, P., and M. Mangel. A Comparison of Dynamic-State-Dependent Models of the Trade-Off Between Growth, Damage, and Reproduction. The American Naturalist 178:774-786

2011 Brodziak, J. and M. Mangel. Probable Values of Stock-Recruitment Steepness for North Pacific Striped Marlin. ISC Billfish Working Group Workshop, 24 May to 1 June, 2011, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan paper ISC/11/BILLWG-2/11

2012 Shelton, A.O. and M. Mangel. Estimating von Bertalanffy parameters with individual and environmental variations in growth. Journal of Biological Dynamics DOI:10.1080/17513758.2012.697195

2012 Dowling, N.A., Wilcox, C., Mangel, M. and S. Pascoe. Assessing opportunity and relocation costs of marine protected areas using a behavioural model of longline fleet dynamics. Fish and Fisheries 13:139-157

2012 Vincenzi, S., Satterthwaite, W.H., and M. Mangel. Spatial and temporal scale of density-dependent body growth and its implications for recruitment, population dynamics and management of stream-dwelling salmonid populations. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries. 22:813-825

2012 Lorenzen, K. Beveridge, M.C.M., and M. Mangel. Cultured fish: integrative biology and management of domestication and interactions with wild fish. Biological Reviews 87:639-660

2012 Satterthwaite, W.H. and M. Mangel. Behavioral models as a common framework to predict impacts of environmental change on seabirds and fur seals. Deep Sea Research II. 65-70:304-315

2012 Pikitch, E., Boersma, P.D., Boyd, I.L., Conover, D.O., Cury, P., Essington, T., Heppell, S.S., Houde, E.D., Mangel, M., Pauly, D., Plagányi, É., Sainsbury, K., and Steneck, R.S. 2012. Little Fish, Big Impact: Managing a Crucial Link in Ocean Food Webs.Lenfest Ocean Program. Washington, DC. 108 pp. Executive Summary

2012 Sogard, S.M., Merz, J.E., Satterthwaite, W.H., Beakes, M.P., Swank, D.R., Collins, E.M., Titus, R.G., and M. Mangel. Contrasts in habitat characteristics and life history patterns of Onchorhynkus mykiss in California's Central Coast and Central Valley. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 141:747-760

2012 Shelton, A.O., Dick, E.J., Pearson, D.E., Ralston, S., and M. Mangel. Estimating species composition and quantifying uncertainty in multispecies fisheries: hierarchical Bayesian models for stratified sampling protocols with missing data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 69:231-246

2012 Satterthwaite, Hayes, S.A., Merz, J.E., Sogard, S.M., Frechette, D.M. and M. Mangel. State-dependent migration timing and use of multiple habitat types in anadromous salmonids. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 141:781-794 The model in R

2012 Levi, T., Darimont, C.T., MacDuffee, M., Mangel, M., Paquet, P., and C.C. Wilmers. Using grizzly bears to assess harvest-ecosystem tradeoffs in salmon fisheries. PLoS Biol 10(4): e1001303. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001303 Commentary by Jonathan Chase

2012 Andrews, K.I. and M. Mangel. Asymptotic size and natural mortality of long-lived fish for data poor stock assessments. Fisheries Research 127-128:45-48

2012 Cresswell,K.A., Wiedenmann,J.R. and M. Mangel. A model of parental conflict: Predicting provisioning behavior of penguin partners in response to local changes in krill. Ecological Modeling 246:68-78

2012 Shelton, A.O., Munch, S.B., Keith, D., and M. Mangel. Maternal age, fecundity, egg quality, and recruitment: linking stock structure to recruitment using an age-structured Ricker model. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 69: 1631–1641

2013 Shelton, A.O., Kinzey, D., Reiss, C., Munch, S., Watters, G. and M. Mangel. Among-year variation in growth of Antarctic krill Euphausia superba based on length-frequency data. Marine Ecology Progress Series 481:53-67

2013 Mangel, M., MacCall, A.D., Brodziak, J., Dick, E.J., Forrest, R.E., Pourzand, R., and S. Ralston. A perspective on steepness, reference points, and stock assessment. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 70:930-940

2013 Labrada-Martagon, V., Mendez-Rodriguez, L.C., Mangel, M., and T. Zenteno-Savin. Applying generalized linear models as an explanatory tool of sex steroids, thyroid hormones and their relationships with environmental and physiologic factors in immature East Pacific green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas). Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology, Part A.doi.org/10.1016/j.cbpa.2013.05.010

2013 Dowling, N.A., Wilcox, C., and M. Mangel. Risk sensitivity and the behaviour of fishing vessels. Fish and Fisheries DOI: 10.1111/faf.12064

2014 Pikitch, E.K., Rountos, K.J., Essington, T.E., Santora, C., Pauly, D., Watson, R., Sumaila, U.R., Boersma, P.D., Boyd, I.L., Conover, D., Cury, P., Heppell, S.S., Houde, E.D., Mangel, M., Plaganyi, E., Sainsbury, K., Steneck, R.S., Geers, T.M., Gownarls, N., and S.B. Munch. The global contribution of forage fish to marine fisheries and ecosystems. Fish and Fisheries 15:43-64

2014 Beakes, M.P., Sharron,S., Moore, J.W., Satterthwaite, W.H., Sturm, E., Wells, B.K., Sogard, S.M., and M. Mangel. Using scale characteristics and water temperature to reconstruct growth rates of juvenile steelhead Oncorhynchus mykiss. Journal of Fish Biology 84:58-72

2014 Labrada-Martagon, V., Zenteno-Savin, T., and M. Mangel. Linking physiological approaches to marine vertebrate conservation: using sex steroid hormone determinations in demographic assessments. Conservation Physiology 10.1093/conphys/cot035

2014 Vincenzi, S., Crivelli, A.J., Satterthwaite, W.H. and M. Mangel. Eco-evolutionary dynamics induced by massive mortality events Journal of Fish Biology doi:10.1111/jfb.12382

2014 Yeakel, J.D. and Mangel, M. A generalized perturbation approach for exploring stock recruitment relationships. Theoretical Ecology DOI 10.1007/s12080-014-0230-z

2014 de la Mare, W., Gales, N., and M. Mangel. Applying scientific principles in international law on whaling. Science 345:1125-1126

2014 Vincenzi S., Mangel M., Crivelli A.J., Munch S., Skaug H.J. Determining Individual Variation in Growth and Its Implication for Life-History and Population Processes Using the Empirical Bayes Method. PLoS Computational Biology 10(9): e1003828. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003828

2014 Brodziak, J., Mangel, M. and C-L Sun Stock-recruitment resilience of North Pacific striped marlin based on reproductive ecology. Fisheries Research, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2014.08.008

2015 Boettiger C., Mangel M., and S. Munch. 2015 Avoiding tipping points in fisheries management through Gaussian process dynamic programming. Proc. R. Soc. B 282: 20141631. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.1631

2015 Boughton,D.A. Harrison, L.R., Pike,A.S., Arriaza, J.L. and M. Mangel. Thermal Potential for Steelhead Life History Expression in a Southern California Alluvial River, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 144:2, 258-273, DOI: 10.1080/00028487.2014.986338

2015 Mangel, M., Dowling, N., Lopez Arriaza, J. The behavioral ecology of fishing vessels: Achieving conservation objectives through understanding the beahvior of fishing vessels. Environmental and Resource Economics 61:71-85 DOI 10.1007/s10640-013-9739-7

2015 Mangel, M. and W. H. Satterthwaite. Modeling anadramous salmon life-history. pages 221-247 in Evolutionary Biology of the Atlantic Salmon (T. Valdic and E. Petersson, editors). CRC PRess, Boca Raton, FL.

2015 Richerson, K., Watters, G.M., Santora, J.A., Schroeder, I.D., and M. Mangel. More than passive drifters: a stochastic dynamic model for the movement of Antarctic krill. Marine Ecology Progress Series 529:35-48

2016 Jorgensen, C., Engberg, K. and M. Mangel. Modelling and interpreting fish bioenergetics: a role for behaviour, life-history traits and survival trade-offs. Journal of Fish Biology 88:389-402

2016 Kindsvater, H.K., Mangel, M., Reynolds, J.D. and N.K. Dulvy. Ten principles from evolutionary ecology essential for effective marine conservation. Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1002/ece3.2012 (F1000Prime recommended paper as having special significance)

2016 Richerson, K., Santora, J.A., and M. Mangel. Climate variability and multi-scale assessment of the krill preyscape near the north Antarctic Peninsula. Polar Biol DOI 10.1007/s00300-016-1994-y

2016 Vincenzi, S., Crivelli, A.J., Munch, S., Skaug, H.J., and M. Mangel. Trade-offs between accuracy and interpretability in von Bertalanffy random-effects models of growth. Ecological Applications 26:1535-1552

2016 Mangel, M. and N.A. Dowling. Reference points for Optimal Yield: A framework for assessing Economic, Conservation, and Sociocultural tradeoffs in Ecosystem-Based Fishery Management. Coastal Management 44(5) DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2016.1208884

2016 Vincenzi, S., Mangel, M., Jesensek, D, Garz, J.C, and A.J. Crivelli. Within- and among-population variation in vital rates and population dynamics in a variable environment Ecological Applications xx:1-17

2016 Santora, J.A., Veit,R.R., Reiss,C.S., Schroeder, I.D., and M.Mangel. Ecosystem oceanography of seabird hotspots: Environmental determinants and relationship with Antarctic krill within and important fishing ground. Ecosystems DOI: 10.1007/s10021-016-0078-8

2016 Wiedenmann, J., Wilen, J., Levin, P., Plummer, M., and M. Mangel. A framework for exploring the role of bioeconomics on observed fishing patterns and ecosystem dynamics. Coastal Management 44(5):1-18. 10.1080/08920753.2016.1208886

2017 Dick, E.J., Beyer, S., Mangel, M., and S. Ralston. A meta-analysis of fecundity in rockfishes (genus Sebastes) Fisheries Research 187 73–85.

2017 Vincenzi, S., Mangel, M., Jesensek, D., Garza, J.C., and A.J. Crivelli. Genetic and life-history consequences of extreme climate events. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 284: 20162118. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2016.2118

2017 Mangel, M. The inverse life-history problem, size-dependent mortality and two extensions of results of Holt and Beverton. Fish and Fisheries. DOI: 10.1111/faf.12247

2017 Lopez Arriaza, J., Boughton, D.A., Urquhart,K., and M Mangel. Size-conditional smolting and the response of Carmel River steelhead to two decades of conservation efforts. PLoS ONE 12(11): e0188971. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal. pone.0188971

2018 Richerson, K., Driscoll, R.M., and M. Mangel. Increasing temperature may shift availability of euphausiid prey in the Southern Ocean. Marine Ecology Progress Series. 588:59-70

2018 Kindsvater, H.K., Dulvy, N., Horswill, C., Juan-Jorda, M-J, Mangel, M., and J. Matthiopoulos. Overcoming the data crisis in biodiversity conservation. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2018.06.004

2018 Ljungstrom, G., Francis, T.B., Mangel, M., and C. Jorgensen. Parent-offspring conflict over reproductive timing: ecological dynamics far away and at other times may explain spawning variability in Pacific herring. ICES Journal of Marine Science doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsy106

2019 Horswill, C., Kinsvater, H.K., Juan-Jorda M.J., Dulvy, N.K., Mangel, M. and J. Matthiopoulos. Global reconstruction of life-history strategies: A case study using tunas. Journal of Applied Ecology 56:855-865 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13327

2020 Dichmont, C.M., Dowling, N.A., Pascoe, S., Cannard, T., Pears, R.J., Breen, S., Robert, T., Leigh, G.M., and M. Mangel. Operationalizing triple bottom line harvest strategies. ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsaa033

2020 Dowling, N.A., Dichmont, C.M., Leigh, G.M., Pascoe, S., Pears, R.J., Roberts, T., Breen, S., Cannard, T., Mamula, A., and M. Mangel. Optimising harvest strategies over multiple objectives and stakeholder preferences. Ecological Modelling 435 //doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109243

2020 Mangel, M. Sidney Holt on principles for the conservation of wild living resources, whaling in the Antarctic, and the Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment relationship. ICES Journal of Marine Science doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsaa187

2021 Zimmerman, F., Enberg, K., and M. Mangel. Density-independent mortality at early life stages increases the probability of overlooking an underlying stock recruitment relationship. ICES Journal of Marine Science doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsaa246

2021 Marshall, D.J., Bode, M., Mangel, M. Arlinghaus, R., and E.J. Dick. Reproductive hyperallometry and managing the world’s fisheries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. PNAS 2021 Vol. 118 No. 34 e2100695118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2100695118

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

INSECT BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND AGRICULTURAL PEST CONTROL

1983 Mangel, M. and R.E. Plant. Multiseasonal management of an agricultural pest. I: Development of the theory. Ecological Modelling 20:1-19

1984 Mangel, M., R.E. Plant, and J.R. Carey. Rapid delimiting of pest infestations: A case study of the Mediterranean fruit fly. Journal of Applied Ecology 21:563-579

1985 Mangel, M., S.E. Stefanou, and J.E. Wilen. Modeling Lygus hesperus (Knight) injury to cotton yields. Journal of Economic Entomology 78:1009-1014

1985 Plant, R.E., M. Mangel, and L.E. Flynn. Multiseasonal management of an agricultural pest, II: The economic optimization problem. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 12:45-61

1986 Stefanou, S.E., M. Mangel and J.E. Wilen. Information in agricultural pest control. Journal of Agricultural Economics 37:77-88

1986 Mangel, M. Trapping and information in fruit fly management. pg 315-338 in M. Mangel, R.E. Plant and J.R. Carey (eds) Pest Control: Operations and Systems Analysis in Fruit Fly Management. Springer Verlag

1987 Mangel, M. Oviposition site selection and clutch size in insects. Journal of Mathematical Biology 25:1-22

1987 Mangel, M. Modelling behavioral decisions of insects. Springer Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 73:1-18

1987 Plant, R.E. and M. Mangel. Modeling and simulation in agricultural pest management. (SIAM) Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Review 29:235-262.

1988 Roitberg, B.D. and M. Mangel. On the evolutionary ecology of marking pheromones. Evolutionary Ecology 2:289-315

1989 Mangel, M. Evolution of host selection in parasitoids: Does the state of the parasitoid matter? American Naturalist 133:688-705.

1989 Mangel, M. and B.D. Roitberg. Dynamic information and host acceptance by a tephritid fruit fly. Ecological Entomology 14:181-189

1989  Mangel, M. An evolutionary interpretation of the "motivation to oviposit". Journal of Evolutionary Biology 2:157-172

1989 Mangel, M. Information and area-wide control in agricultural ecology. pg 81-116 in S. Levin, T. Hallam and L. Gross (eds) Second Course on Theoretical Ecology. Springer Verlag.

1989 Peters, C.S., M. Mangel, and R.F. Costantino. Stationary distribution of population size in Tribolium. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 51:625-638

1989 Mangel, M. and C.S. Peters. Computation of the fitness and functional response of Holling's "hungry mantid" by the WKB method. Applied Mathematics Letters 2:361-365

1990 Roitberg, B.D., M. Mangel and G. Tourgny. The density dependence of parasitism by tephritid fruit flies. Ecology 71:1871-1885.

1990 Jaffee, B.A., Muldoon, A.E., Phillips, R., and M. Mangel. Rates of spore transmission, mortality, and production for the nematophagous fungus Hirsutella rhossiliensis Phytopathology, 80:1083-1088

1992 Mangel, M. and B.D. Roitberg. Behavioural stabilization of host-parasitoid dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 42:308-320

1992 Roitberg, B.D., Mangel, M., Lalonde, R., Roitberg, C.A.,van Alphen, J.J.M. and L. Vet. Seasonal dynamic shifts in patch exploitation by parasitic wasps. Behavioural Ecology, 3:156-165

1992 Mangel, M. Motivation, learning, and motivated learning. pg 158- 173 in Insect Learning (D. Papaj and A. C. Lewis, editors), Chapman and Hall. Click here for pages 165 and 166.

1992 Mangel, M. Descriptions of superparasitism by optimal foraging theory, evolutionary stable strategies, and quantitative genetics, Evolutionary Ecology, 6:152-169

1992 Jaffee, B., B. Phillips, A. Muldoon and M. Mangel. Density dependent host-pathogen dynamics in soil microcosms. Ecology 73:495-506.

1993 Roitberg, B.D. and M. Mangel. Parent-offspring conflict and life-history consequences in herbivorous insects. American Naturalist 142:443-456

1993 Roitberg, B.D., Sircom, J., Roitberg, C.A., van Alphen, J.J.M. and M. Mangel. Life expectancy and reproduction. Nature 364:351

1993 Mangel, M. and B.D. Roitberg. Larval life-styles and oviposition behavior of parasites and grazers. Evolutionary Ecology 7:401-406

1994 Lalonde, R.G. and Mangel, M. Seasonal effects on superparasitism by Rhagoletis completa. Journal of Animal Ecology 63:583-588

1994 Rosenheim, J.A. and M. Mangel. Patch-leaving rules for parasitoids with imperfect host discrimination. Ecological Entomology 19:374-380

1994 Mangel, M., Rosenheim, J.A. and F.R. Adler. Clutch size, offspring performance and intergenerational fitness. Behavioral Ecology 5:412-417

1995 Morris, W.F., Mangel, M. and F.R. Adler. Mechanisms of pollen deposition by insect pollinators. Evolutionary Ecology 9:304-317

1995 Mangel, M. and B.D. Roitberg. Behavioral ecology, epidemiology and population genetics: the undiscovered country. Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 100:238-251

1996 Rosenheim, J.A., Nonacs, P. and M. Mangel. Sex ratios and multifaceted paental investment. American Naturalist 148:501-535

1996 Heimpel, G.E., Rosenheim, J.A. and M. Mangel. Egg limitation, host quality, and dynamic behavior by a parasitoid in the field. Ecology 77:2410-2420

1996 Gressel, J., Gardner, S.N., and M. Mangel. 1996. Prevention versus remediation in resistance management. pg 169-186 in Molecular Genetics and Evolution of Pesticide Resistance(T.M Brown, editor), American Chemical Society, Washington, DC

1997 Roitberg, B.D. and M. Mangel. Individuals on the landscape: Behavior can mitigate landscape differences among habitats. Oikos 80:234-240

1997 Heimpel, G.E., Rosenheim, J.A. and M. Mangel. Predation on adult Aphytis parasitoids in the field. Oecologia 110:346-352

1997 Karban, R., Agrawal, A.A. and M. Mangel. The benefits of induced defenses against herbivores. Ecology 78:1351-1355

1998 Mangel, M. and G.E. Heimpel. Reproductive senescence and dynamic oviposition behaviour in insects. Evolutionary Ecology 12:871-879

1998 Heimpel, G.E., Mangel, M. and J.A. Rosenheim. Effects of time limitation and egg limitation on lifetime reproductive success of a parasitoid in the field. American Naturalist 152:273-289

1998 Gardner, S., Gressel, J. and M. Mangel. A revolving dose strategy to delay the evolution of both quantitative vs major monogene resistances to pesticides and drugs. International Journal of Pest Management 44:161-180

1998 Mangel, M. and G.E. Heimpel. Reproductive senescence and dynamic oviposition behaviour in insects. Evolutionary Ecology 12:871-879

2000 Rosenheim, J.A., Heimpel, G.E., and M. Mangel. Egg maturation, egg resorption and the costliness of transient egg limitation in insects. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 267:1565-1573

2000 Keasar, T., Ney-Nifle, M., and M. Mangel. Evidence for learning of visual host-associated cues in the parasitoid wasp Trichograma thalense. Israel Journal of Zoology 46:243-247

2001 Keasar, T., Ney-Nifle, M., Mangel, M., and S. Swezey. Early oviposition experience affects patch residence time in a foraging parasitoid. Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata 98:123-132

2002 Eitam, A., Blaustein, L., and M. Mangel. Effects of Anisops sardea (Hemiptera: Notonectidae) on oviposition habitat selection by mosquitoes and other dipterans and on community structure in artificial ponds. Hydrobiologia 485:183-189

2003 Kiflawi, M., Blaustein, L., and M. Mangel. 2003. Predation-dependent oviposition habitat selection by the mosquoto Culiseta longiareolata: a test of competing hypothesis. Ecology Letters 6:35-40

2003 Kiflawi, M., Blaustein, L. and M. Mangel. Oviposition habitat selection by the mosquito Culiseta longiareolata in response to risk of predation and conspecific larval density. Ecological Entomology 28:168-173

2004 Blaustein, L., Kiflawi, M., Eitam, A., Mangel, M. and J.E. Cohen. Oviposition habitat selection in response to risk of predation in temporary pools: mode of detection and consistency across experimental venue. Oecologia 138:300-305

2010 Roitberg, B.D. and M. Mangel. Mosquito biting and movement rates as an emergent community property and the implications for malarial interventions. Israel Journal of Ecology & Evolution 56:297-312

2016 Roitberg, B. and M. Mangel. Cold snaps, heat waves, and arthropod growth. Ecological Entomology, DOI: 10.1111/een.12324

2016 Saward-Arav, D., Sadeh, A., Mangel, M., Templeton, A.R., and L. Blaustein. Oviposition responses of two mosquito species to pool size and predator presence: varying trade- offs between desiccation and predation risks. Israel Journal of Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1080/15659801.2015.1069113

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

MARINE MAMMALS

1993 Mangel, M. Comparative analyses of the effects of high seas driftnets on the Northern Right Whale Dolphin Lissodelphyus borealis. Ecological Applications 3:221-229

1999 Mangel, M. and R.J. Hofman. Ecosystems. Patterns, processes and paradigms. Pg 87-98 in Conservation and Management of Marine Mammals (J.R. Twiss, Jr. and R.R. Reeves, editors), Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC

2004 Noren, D.P. and M. Mangel. Energy reserve allocation in fasting Northern Elephant Seal Pups: inter-relationships between body condition and fasting duration. Functional Ecology 18:233-242

2006 Wolf, N., Melbourne, J. and M. Mangel. The method of multiple hypotheses and the decline of Steller sea lions in western Alaska. Pg 275-293 in Top Predators in Marine Ecosystems. Their Role in Monitoring and Management (I Boyd, S Wanless and C.J. Camphusen editors), Cambridge University Press

2006 Mangel, M. and N. Wolf. Predator diet breadth and prey population dynamics. Pg 279-285 in Whales, Whaling, and Ocean Ecosystems (JA Estes, DP Demaster, DF Doak, TM Williams and RL Brownell, Jr. editors). University of California Press, Berkeley

2007Wolf, N. and M. Mangel. Strategy, compromise, and cheating in predator-prey games. Evolutionary Ecology Research 9:1293-1304.

2008 Wolf, N. and M. Mangel. Multiple hypothesis testing and the declining-population paradigm in Steller sea lions. Ecological Applications 18:1932-1955

2016 Brierley, A.S., Clapham, P.J., Baker, C.S., Baluch, S., Begona Santos, M., Berggren, P., Brownell Jr., R.L., Castro, C., Charrassin, J-C., Chasqui Velasco, L. Cooke, J., Currey, R., Gallego, P, Galletti Vernazzani, B., Herr, H., Ivashchenko, Y.V., Lauriano, G., Leaper, R., Mangel, M., Marcondes, M.C.C., de Oliveira Luna, F., Panigada, S., Reeves, S.A., Ridoux, V., Ritter, F., Rodr ́ıguez- Fonesca, Roel, B.A., Rosenbaum, H., Scheidat, M., Simmonds, M., Stachowitsch, P., and P. Wade. Japan’s whaling is unscientific. Nature 529: 283

2016 Schwarz, L.K., McHuron, E., Mangel, M., Wells, R.S., and D.P. Costa Stochastic dynamic programming: An approach for modelling the population consequences of disturbance due to lost foraging opportunities. Fourth International Conference on the Effects of Noise on Aquatic Life Dublin, Ireland 10-16 July 2016. DOI: 10.1121/2.0000276

2016 Mangel, M. Whales, science, and scientific whaling in the International Court of Justice. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1604988113

2016 McHuron, E.A., Costa, D.P., Schwarz, L., and M. Mangel. State-dependent behavioural theory for assessing the fitness consequences of anthropogenic disturbance on capital and income breeders. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12701

2017 McHuron, E.A., Mangel, M., Schwarz, L.K., and D.P. Costa. Energy and prey requirements of California sea lions under variable environmental conditions. Marine Ecology Progress Series 567:235-247

2018 Pirotta, E., Mangel, M., Costa, D.P., Mate, B., Goldbogen, J.A., Palacios, D.M., Huckstadt, L.A., McHuron, E.A., Schwarz, L., and L. New. A dynamic state model of migratory behavior and physiology to assess the consequences of environmental variation and anthropogenic disturbance on marine vertebrates. American Naturalist 191: DOI: 10.1086/695135

2018 McHuron, E.A., Schwarz, L.K., Costa, D.P., and M. Mangel. A state-dependent model for assessing the population consequences of disturbance on income-breeding mammals. Ecological Modeling 385:133-144

2019 Pirotta, E., Mangel, M., Costa, D.P., Goldbogen, J., Harwood, J., Hin, V., Irvine, L.M, Mate, B.R., McHuron, E.A., Palacios, D.M., Schwarz, L., and L. New. Anthropogenic disturbance in a changing environment: modelling lifetime reproductive success to predict the consequences of multiple stressors on a migratory population Okios 00:1-18, doi: 10.1111/oik.06146

2019 Reimer, J.R., Mangel, M., Derocher, A.E., and M. A. Lewis. Modeling optimal responses and fitness consequences in a changing Arctic. Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14681

2019 Tinker, M.T., Gill, V.A., Esslinger, G.C., Bodkin, J., Monk, M., Mangel, M., Monson, D.H., Raymond, W.W., and M.E. Kissling. Trends and carrying capacity of sea otters in Southeast Alaska. The Journal of Wildlife Management 83(5). DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21685

2020 Pirotta, E., Hin, V., Mangel,M., New,L., Costa,D.P., de Roos, A.M. and J. Harwood. Propensity for risk in reproductive strategy affects susceptibility to anthropogenic disturbance. The American Naturalist 196 doi: 10.1086/710150

2021 McHuron, E.A., Aerts, L., Gailey, G., Sychenko, O., Costa, D.P., Mangel, M., and L.K. Schwarz. Predicting the population consequences of acoustic disturbance, with application to an endangered gray whale population. Ecological Applications, Article 02440

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY INCLUDING DISEASE MODELING, GENERAL METHODS, AND STOCHASTIC POPULATION THEORY

1977 Mangel, M. and D. Ludwig. Probability of extinction in a stochastic competition. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) Journal on Applied Mathematics 33:256-266.

1979 Mangel, M. Small fluctuations in systems with multiple steady states. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 36:544-572.

1980 Mangel, M. Small fluctuations in systems with multiple limit cycles. SIAM Journal of Applied Mathematics 38:120-138.

1989 Minta, S. and M. Mangel. A simple population estimate based on simulation for capture-recapture and capture-resight data. Ecology 70:1738-1751

1990 Peters, C.S. and M. Mangel. New methods for the problem of collective ruin. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 50:1442-1456.

1994. Mangel, M. Barrier transitions driven by fluctuations, with applications to ecology and evolution. Theoretical Population Biology. 45:16-40

1996. Gardner, S.N. and M. Mangel. Mark-resight population estimation with imperfect observations. Ecology 77:880-884

1996 Moore, T.G. and M. Mangel. Traffic related mortality and the effects on local populations of barn owls Tyto alba in Trends in Addressing Transportation Related Wildlife Mortality (G.L. Evink, P. Garrett, D. Zeigler and J. Berry, editors). State of Florida, Department of Transportation Report FL-ER-58-96.

1998. Mogilner, A., Mangel, M. and R. Baskin. Motion of molecular motor ratcheted by internal fluctuations and protein friction. Physics Letters A 237: 297-306

2009 Merl, D., Johnson, L.R., Gramacy, R.B. and M. Mangel. A statistical framework for the adaptive management of epidemiological interventions. PLoS ONE 4(6): e5807. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0005807

2010 Merl, D., Johnson, L.R., Gramacy, R.B., and M. Mangel. amei: An R package for the adaptive management of epidemiological interventions. Journal of Statistical Software 32(6):1-32

2012 Levi, T., Kilpatrick, A.M., Mangel, M. and C.C. Wilmers. Deer, predators, and the emergence of lyme disease. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi/10.1073/pnas.1204536109 Supplementary Information

2021 Brown, A. and M. Mangel. Operational Analysis for Coronavirus Testing. Recommendations for Practice. Report, National Security Analysis Division, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory

2021 Mangel, M. and A. Brown. Operational Analysis for Coronavirus Testsing. Report, National Security Analysis Division, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory

2021 Mangel, M. and J. McEver. Modeling coupled nonlinear multilayered dynamics: Cyber attack and disruption of an electric grid. Complexity Research Article Modeling Coupled Nonlinear Multilayered Dynamics: Cyber Attack and Disruption of an Electric Grid doi.org/10.1155/2021/5584123

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

OPERATIONS RESEARCH, ESPECIALLY SEARCH THEORY

1978 Mangel, M. Fluctuations in systems with multiple steady states: Application to Lanchaster equations. pg 335-340 in P.Wang et al. (eds.) Proceedings of the Workshop on the Information Linkage Between Applied Mathematics and Industry. Academic Press

1981 Mangel, M. Search for a randomly moving object. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 40:327-338

1981 Mangel, M. Three bearing method for passive triangulation in systems with unknown deterministic biases. IEEE Transactions on Aerospace Systems 17:814-819 (Koopman Paper Prize, Operations Research Society of America, 1982)

1982 Mangel, M. Applied mathematicians and naval operators. SIAM Review 24:289-300.

1982 Mangel, M. Probability of success in the search for a moving target. Operations Research 30:216-222

1983 Mangel, M. Optimal search for and mining of underwater mineral resources. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 43:99-106.

1984 Mangel, M. and F.J. Samaniego. Abraham Wald's work on aircraft survivability. Journal of the American Statistical Association 79:259-271. (JASA Applications Invited Paper 1983)

1984 Ohsumi, A. and M. Mangel. On the search and parameter estimation for a randomly moving object. pg 133-136 in Proceedings of the 7th Symposium on Dynamical Systems Theory, Tokushima University, Japan

1985 Nickel, R. and M. Mangel. Weapon acquisition with target uncertainty. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 32:567-588

1985 Mangel, M. Search models in fisheries and agriculture. Springer Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 61:105-137

1986 Mangel, M. and C.W. Clark. Search theory in natural resource modeling. Natural Resource Modeling 1:1-54

1986 Ohsumi, A. and M. Mangel. Joint searching and parameter identification for a Markovian target. pg 517-525 in Y. Bar-Shalom (ed.) Proceedings of the American Control Conference, IEEE Press, Piscataway, NJ

1988 Mangel, M. Search theory: A differential equations approach. pg 55-103 in D. Chudonovksy and G. Chudonovsky (eds.) Search Theory, Marcel Dekker

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Theoretical physics and chemistry ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

THEORETICAL PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY

1978 Mangel, M. Fluctuations at chemical instabilities. Journal of Chemical Physics 69:3697-3708

1979 Mangel, M. Uniform treatment of fluctuations at critical points. Physica 97A: 597-615

1979 Mangel, M. Relaxation at critical points: Deterministic and stochastic theory Physica 97A:616-642

1980 Mangel, M. Rate constant and transmission coefficient in the diffusion theory of reaction rates. Journal of Chemical Physics 72:6606-6613; erratum

1981 Mangel, M. Simple theory of relaxation from instabilities. Physical Review A 24:3226-3238

1981 Gillespie, D.T. and M. Mangel. Conditioned averages in chemical kinetics. Journal of Chemical Physics 75:704-709

1981 Mangel, M. Diffusion theory of reaction rates for multiple potential barriers. Journal of Chemical Physics 75:5969-5971

1981 Mangel, M. Description and some aspects of control of temperature fluctuations in catalytic wires and gauzes. Mathematical Modeling 2:201-212

1984 Knessl, C., B.J. Matkowsky, Z. Schuss, M. Mangel and C. Tier. Solution of Kramers-Moyal equations for problems in chemical physics. Journal of Chemical Physics 81:1285-1293. Erratum

1984 Knessl, C., B.J. Matkowsky, Z. Schuss, M. Mangel and C. Tier. Asymptotic solution of the Kramers-Moyal equation and first passage times for Markov jump processes. Physical Review A 29:3359-3369

1985 Matkowsky, B.J., Z. Schuss, C. Knessl, C. Tier and M. Mangel. First passage times for processes governed by master equations. pg 19-36 in W. Horsthemke and K.K. Kondepudi (eds.) Proceedings of the International Conference on Fluctuations and Sensitivity in Nonequilibrium Systems. Springer Verlag.

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Early publications in marine chemistry and membrane biophysics .

EARLY PUBLICATIONS IN MARINE CHEMISTRY AND MEMBRANE BIOPHYSICS

1971 Mangel, M. A treatment of complex ions in sea water. Marine Geology 11:M24-26

1971 Jendrasiak, G.L. and M. Mangel. Ion pair movement across bilayer lipid membranes. Nature 234:80-81

1975 Berns, D.S., A. Ilani, and M. Mangel. The dependence of photosensitivity of bileaflet lipid membranes upon the chlorophyll and carotenoid content. Journal of Membrane Biology 20:171-180

1975 Mangel, M. The enhancement of photocurrents in bilayer lipid membranes by phycocyanin: pH and surface charge dependence. Biochemical and Biophysical Research Communications 66:393-397

1976 Jendrasiak, G.L. and M. Mangel. The movement of ion pairs across bilayer lipid membranes. Chemistry and Physics of Lipids 16:167-180.

1976 Mangel, M. The relationship of photosensitivity of bilayer lipid membranes and the aqueous acceptor: studies using complex ions of amino acids. Biochimica et Biophysica Acta 419:404-410

1976 Mangel, M. Properties of liposomes containing chloroplast pigments: photosensitivity and efficiency of energy conversion. Biochimica et Biophysica Acta 430:459-466.

Go elsewhere: Publications in the last three years ; Behavioral ecology (other than insects) and evolutionary ecology ; Essays, book reviews, and editorials ; Fish (especially salmonids and krill), fisheries, and natural resource management and conservation ; Insect behavioral ecology and agricultural pest control ; Marine Mammals ; Mathematical Biology (including disease modeling, general methods, and stochastic population theory) ; Operations research, especially search theory theory ; Theoretical physics and chemistry .