Get with the most modern techniques:

You can order THE ECOLOGICAL DETECTIVE CONFRONTING MODELS WITH DATA (Ray Hilborn and Marc Mangel, 1997) from Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ by calling California-Princeton Fulfillment Services (1-800-777-4726).

Table of Contents:

Preface: Beyond the Null Hypothesis

1. An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detective

2. Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and Of Modeling

3. Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Data

4. Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fishery

5. The Confrontation: Sum of Squares

6. The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behavior

7. The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood

8. Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengeti

9. The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fit

10. Management of Hake Fisheries in Western Africa

11. The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit is Found

Appendix: The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses (by T.C. Chamberlain)


Excerpts of reviews:

"...However, there is no book which shows how to deal with real data as clearly as The Ecological Detective, and the models of population dynamics are close enough to genetics to be easily The Ecological Detective, read it and then confront your models with the data"--Nick Barton, Genetical Research 70:181 (1997)

"An absolutely essential tool for the ecological researcher. Upper-division undergraduates through faculty"--R.L. Smith, Choice November 1997

"...The Ecological Detective is a valuable tool for quantitatively-minded ecologists trying to fit models to data, to synthesize multiple research efforts, or just to think critically about alternative hypotheses. I encourage you to pick up a copy, grab your programming manuals and dig in."-- John Van Sickle, Northwest Science 71:343 (1997)

"Long swords have been sharpened and unsheathed in a war to change the way ecological data are analyzed and presented to decision makers...The Ecological Detective provides an unusually clear and careful description of analytical methods that were first applied to fisheries problems within the last decade" --- Cliff Kraft, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 127:337 (1998)

"For some readers, this book may change their philosophical and operational framework. For others, it will simply serve as a reminder of the importance of considering and testing alternative models. But no scientist should ignore Hilborn and Mangel's attempt to provide a general approach for exploring a complex world" -- Thomas Miller and Gretchen LeBuhn, Science 281:788


Ben Bolker, University of Florida, compiled a list of errata that can be found at